NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RICH UNI
Points 70.0 65.4
Total Points   135.5
Points From 2-Pointers 36.0 31.8
Points From 3-Pointers 22.9 20.4
Points From Free Throws 11.1 13.2
Shooting RICH UNI
Field Goals Made 25.7 22.7
Field Goals Attempted 54.6 55.5
Field Goal % 47.0% 40.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 15.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.1 34.3
2 Point Shooting % 52.9% 46.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 32.1%
Free Throws Made 11.1 13.2
Free Throws Attempted 15.5 18.6
Free Throw % 71.6% 70.8%
Ball Control RICH UNI
Rebounds 32.4 34.8
Rebounds - Defensive 28.2 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 4.2 7.5
Turnovers 8.8 9.1
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.1
Steals 5.6 4.7
Fouls 14.0 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Richmond

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RICH UNI
Total Possessions 68.2
Effective Scoring Chances 63.7 66.7
% of Possessions with RICH UNI
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 27.6%
Player Fouled 21.5% 20.5%
Turnover 12.8% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken RICH UNI
Shot Blocked 3.8% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 13.5% 21.1%