NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RICH VCU
Points 62.2 65.3
Total Points   127.6
Points From 2-Pointers 31.0 27.6
Points From 3-Pointers 19.2 25.5
Points From Free Throws 12.0 12.3
Shooting RICH VCU
Field Goals Made 21.9 22.3
Field Goals Attempted 54.0 55.1
Field Goal % 40.6% 40.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 13.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.3 30.5
2 Point Shooting % 45.2% 45.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 19.7 24.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 12.0 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.8 15.9
Free Throw % 71.6% 77.2%
Ball Control RICH VCU
Rebounds 31.3 38.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 29.4
Rebounds - Offensive 5.1 8.6
Turnovers 8.6 10.3
Blocked Shots 1.8 3.2
Steals 6.0 4.9
Fouls 12.6 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: VCU

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RICH VCU
Total Possessions 67.0
Effective Scoring Chances 63.5 65.3
% of Possessions with RICH VCU
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 39.9%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 32.3%
Player Fouled 20.9% 18.7%
Turnover 12.8% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken RICH VCU
Shot Blocked 5.9% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 14.8% 24.7%