NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RICH FOR
Points 70.5 63.5
Total Points   134.0
Points From 2-Pointers 36.9 28.5
Points From 3-Pointers 17.8 23.6
Points From Free Throws 15.8 11.3
Shooting RICH FOR
Field Goals Made 24.4 22.2
Field Goals Attempted 52.0 60.7
Field Goal % 46.9% 36.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 14.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 34.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.2% 41.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 15.3 26.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.8% 29.8%
Free Throws Made 15.8 11.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 16.9
Free Throw % 71.6% 67.2%
Ball Control RICH FOR
Rebounds 34.0 38.5
Rebounds - Defensive 29.5 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 4.5 12.0
Turnovers 10.1 10.5
Blocked Shots 2.7 4.0
Steals 5.3 5.6
Fouls 13.0 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Richmond

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RICH FOR
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 64.4 71.6
% of Possessions with RICH FOR
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 20.1% 31.8%
Player Fouled 25.1% 18.6%
Turnover 14.5% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken RICH FOR
Shot Blocked 6.6% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 14.4% 28.9%