NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RICH URI
Points 76.9 65.9
Total Points   142.8
Points From 2-Pointers 40.9 33.6
Points From 3-Pointers 24.1 19.9
Points From Free Throws 11.9 12.4
Shooting RICH URI
Field Goals Made 28.5 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 55.8
Field Goal % 49.0% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 20.4 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.4% 47.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 20.1
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 11.9 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 16.6 18.8
Free Throw % 71.6% 66.1%
Ball Control RICH URI
Rebounds 31.9 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 5.2 9.0
Turnovers 6.7 11.1
Blocked Shots 3.9 2.1
Steals 6.2 3.3
Fouls 13.9 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Rhode Island

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RICH URI
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 67.7 67.2
% of Possessions with RICH URI
2 Point Attempt 49.1% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 25.2%
Player Fouled 21.2% 20.0%
Turnover 9.7% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 4.8% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken RICH URI
Shot Blocked 3.8% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 16.1% 25.3%