NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FAIR L-MD
Points 77.7 63.7
Total Points   141.4
Points From 2-Pointers 37.9 34.0
Points From 3-Pointers 27.0 21.0
Points From Free Throws 12.7 8.7
Shooting FAIR L-MD
Field Goals Made 28.0 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 54.0
Field Goal % 49.6% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 32.6 32.8
2 Point Shooting % 58.2% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 23.8 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 12.7 8.7
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 13.6
Free Throw % 74.0% 64.1%
Ball Control FAIR L-MD
Rebounds 30.3 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 9.3
Turnovers 7.9 13.9
Blocked Shots 2.3 1.5
Steals 8.6 4.7
Fouls 12.4 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Loyola-MD

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FAIR L-MD
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.9 63.2
% of Possessions with FAIR L-MD
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 42.0%
3 Point Attempt 31.6% 27.1%
Player Fouled 19.6% 18.2%
Turnover 11.6% 20.5%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 12.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken FAIR L-MD
Shot Blocked 2.8% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.1% 28.4%