NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ASU ORST
Points 68.7 68.7
Total Points   137.4
Points From 2-Pointers 35.0 34.9
Points From 3-Pointers 19.4 19.1
Points From Free Throws 14.3 14.7
Shooting ASU ORST
Field Goals Made 24.0 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 53.4
Field Goal % 42.4% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 34.8 33.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 51.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 29.9% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 14.3 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 20.0
Free Throw % 65.3% 73.5%
Ball Control ASU ORST
Rebounds 32.6 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 7.9
Turnovers 9.3 13.0
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.6
Steals 7.3 4.9
Fouls 16.6 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Arizona St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ASU ORST
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.6 65.8
% of Possessions with ASU ORST
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 24.3%
Player Fouled 23.2% 23.4%
Turnover 13.1% 18.4%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 10.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ASU ORST
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 21.7% 24.4%