NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ASU UCLA
Points 63.1 66.6
Total Points   129.7
Points From 2-Pointers 29.2 33.3
Points From 3-Pointers 20.3 17.6
Points From Free Throws 13.6 15.6
Shooting ASU UCLA
Field Goals Made 21.4 22.6
Field Goals Attempted 53.7 53.9
Field Goal % 39.8% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 14.6 16.7
2 Pointers Attempted 31.1 36.0
2 Point Shooting % 47.0% 46.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 17.9
3 Point Shooting % 29.9% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 13.6 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 21.1
Free Throw % 65.3% 74.3%
Ball Control ASU UCLA
Rebounds 32.2 38.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 29.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 9.7
Turnovers 9.7 11.1
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.4
Steals 6.0 4.8
Fouls 16.4 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: UCLA

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ASU UCLA
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 66.4 67.2
% of Possessions with ASU UCLA
2 Point Attempt 40.4% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 22.6%
Player Fouled 24.8% 23.9%
Turnover 14.2% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ASU UCLA
Shot Blocked 4.5% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 20.5% 28.2%