NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ASU SYR
Points 71.2 75.6
Total Points   146.8
Points From 2-Pointers 39.2 38.1
Points From 3-Pointers 21.2 21.8
Points From Free Throws 10.8 15.7
Shooting ASU SYR
Field Goals Made 26.7 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 60.2 56.8
Field Goal % 44.3% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 37.9 36.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.3 20.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 10.8 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 21.6
Free Throw % 65.3% 72.8%
Ball Control ASU SYR
Rebounds 35.2 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 7.4
Turnovers 12.2 11.7
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.6
Steals 7.1 7.5
Fouls 15.1 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Arizona St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ASU SYR
Total Possessions 74.0
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 69.7
% of Possessions with ASU SYR
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 44.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 24.4%
Player Fouled 18.5% 20.4%
Turnover 16.5% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 9.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken ASU SYR
Shot Blocked 4.6% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 21.8%