NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring INST WRST
Points 97.7 82.0
Total Points   179.7
Points From 2-Pointers 42.7 49.8
Points From 3-Pointers 38.6 19.2
Points From Free Throws 16.4 13.0
Shooting INST WRST
Field Goals Made 34.2 31.3
Field Goals Attempted 59.1 62.4
Field Goal % 57.9% 50.2%
2 Pointers Made 21.4 24.9
2 Pointers Attempted 29.2 46.4
2 Point Shooting % 73.1% 53.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.9 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 29.9 16.0
3 Point Shooting % 43.0% 39.9%
Free Throws Made 16.4 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 17.2
Free Throw % 80.7% 75.6%
Ball Control INST WRST
Rebounds 32.7 27.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 20.9
Rebounds - Offensive 6.2 7.0
Turnovers 10.9 10.0
Blocked Shots 1.6 2.2
Steals 6.0 5.8
Fouls 15.6 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats INST WRST
Total Possessions 76.0
Effective Scoring Chances 71.3 73.0
% of Possessions with INST WRST
2 Point Attempt 35.2% 55.5%
3 Point Attempt 35.9% 19.2%
Player Fouled 19.9% 20.5%
Turnover 14.3% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken INST WRST
Shot Blocked 3.6% 2.8%
Offensive Rebound 22.8% 20.9%