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N Carolina at Wake Forest
Sat Jan 22, 2022
8:00pm ET
Winston-Salem, NC
N Carolina at Wake Forest: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Wake Forest by 1, Total Points: 150.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UNC | adv | WAKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-16-0 | 18-16-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-10-0 | 11-10-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 8-7-0 | 13-5-1 | |
| Away | 13-9-0 | 5-11-0 |
N Carolina Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Radford | -18.5 | W by 16 | -2.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | Lehigh | -24.0 | W by 22 | -2.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | UC Riverside | -23.5 | W by 25 | +1.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | N Iowa | -11.5 | W by 22 | +10.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Villanova | -2.5 | L by 2 | -4.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Arkansas | -3.5 | W by 15 | +11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Tennessee | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Florida St | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 12/05 | Neutral | Connecticut | +5.5 | L by 11 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Kentucky | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Oklahoma | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Charl South | -30.5 | W by 45 | +14.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Pittsburgh | -4.0 | W by 13 | +9.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Clemson | +3.0 | W by 10 | +13.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | NC State | -3.0 | W by 13 | +10.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Syracuse | -12.0 | W by 36 | +24.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Louisville | -21.0 | W by 16 | -5.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Boston Col | -7.5 | W by 10 | +2.5 |
| 01/22 | Home | Wake Forest | -8.0 | W by 21 | +13.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Florida St | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | GA Tech | -8.5 | L by 1 | -9.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Duke | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Clemson | -6.5 | L by 4 | -10.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Miami | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Syracuse | -8.0 | L by 7 | -15.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | VA Tech | -11.0 | W by 15 | +4.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Virginia | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 02/26 | Home | Miami | -14.0 | W by 4 | -10.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | NC State | -11.0 | W by 9 | -2.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Notre Dame | -16.0 | W by 33 | +17.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Duke | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Florida St | -11.0 | W by 25 | +14.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Pittsburgh | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | NC State | -10.0 | L by 8 | -18.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Wagner | -25.5 | W by 28 | +2.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Michigan St | -4.0 | W by 16 | +12.0 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Alabama | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
Wake Forest Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Elon | -19.5 | W by 23 | +3.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Georgia | +2.0 | L by 3 | -1.0 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Utah | +5.5 | L by 7 | -1.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Towson | -4.5 | W by 10 | +5.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | LSU | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Charl South | -23.5 | W by 15 | -8.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Florida | +5.0 | W by 11 | +16.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Rutgers | -3.5 | W by 19 | +15.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | NJIT | -26.0 | W by 24 | -2.0 |
| 12/18 | Home | Delaware St | -20.0 | W by 29 | +9.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Presbyterian | -21.5 | W by 23 | +1.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | VA Tech | -4.5 | W by 23 | +18.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Boston Col | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Miami | -4.0 | W by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/09 | Away | Florida St | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Virginia | -6.0 | W by 19 | +13.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | NC State | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Louisville | -16.0 | W by 25 | +9.0 |
| 01/22 | Away | N Carolina | +8.0 | L by 21 | -13.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Pittsburgh | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Syracuse | -8.5 | W by 29 | +20.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | GA Tech | -5.0 | W by 29 | +24.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | NC State | -8.0 | W by 4 | -4.0 |
| 02/12 | Away | Duke | +7.0 | L by 8 | -1.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Virginia | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Pittsburgh | -6.0 | W by 33 | +27.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Duke | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Notre Dame | -6.5 | L by 5 | -11.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | VA Tech | +1.5 | L by 11 | -9.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | GA Tech | -13.5 | L by 1 | -14.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Clemson | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Notre Dame | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Pittsburgh | -2.0 | L by 12 | -14.0 |
| 03/20 | Home | App State | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 03/24 | Home | Georgia | -7.0 | L by 6 | -13.0 |
| WAKE -1.0 | Open | -2.0 | High | -2.0 |
| Last | -1.5 | Low | -1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1899 games where the closing line favored the home team by 0 to 2 points. In these games:
- The team like Wake Forest won the game 1024 times (53.9%).
- The team like North Carolina won the game 875 times (46.1%).
- The team like Wake Forest did better against the spread, going 947-919-33 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3208 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like North Carolina did better against the spread, going 1587-1557-64 (50.5% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -1.0 | -1.0 | -1.0 |
| Open | -1.5 | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/22 08:04 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 01/22 07:58 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 07:49 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 07:34 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 01/22 04:22 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 12:25 PM | -- | -- | -1.0 |
| 01/22 12:15 PM | -- | -- | -1.0 |
| 01/22 12:14 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 01/22 12:02 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 10:44 AM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 01/22 10:35 AM | -- | -- | -1.0 |
| 01/22 10:23 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 10:20 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 09:55 AM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 01/22 09:47 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 09:45 AM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 01/22 07:44 AM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 01/21 10:35 PM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 01/21 08:40 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 08:24 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
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