NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNC WAKE
Points 78.1 73.0
Total Points   151.0
Points From 2-Pointers 38.6 37.4
Points From 3-Pointers 23.0 21.1
Points From Free Throws 16.4 14.5
Shooting UNC WAKE
Field Goals Made 27.0 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 61.2 59.2
Field Goal % 44.1% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 39.8 38.5
2 Point Shooting % 48.6% 48.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 16.4 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 18.3
Free Throw % 75.4% 79.2%
Ball Control UNC WAKE
Rebounds 38.9 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 28.6 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 6.6
Turnovers 8.7 9.4
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.0
Steals 5.3 4.4
Fouls 16.4 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Wake Forest

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNC WAKE
Total Possessions 72.4
Effective Scoring Chances 74.0 69.6
% of Possessions with UNC WAKE
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.4% 25.7%
Player Fouled 21.4% 22.7%
Turnover 12.0% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNC WAKE
Shot Blocked 6.9% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 27.9% 18.7%