NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNC VT
Points 80.4 71.4
Total Points   151.8
Points From 2-Pointers 42.4 35.3
Points From 3-Pointers 21.6 22.0
Points From Free Throws 16.3 14.2
Shooting UNC VT
Field Goals Made 28.4 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 60.8 58.4
Field Goal % 46.8% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 21.2 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 40.9 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.8% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 32.3%
Free Throws Made 16.3 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 17.7
Free Throw % 75.4% 79.8%
Ball Control UNC VT
Rebounds 39.8 30.5
Rebounds - Defensive 28.8 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 6.3
Turnovers 8.6 9.3
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.5
Steals 5.6 3.9
Fouls 15.7 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: VA Tech

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNC VT
Total Possessions 71.6
Effective Scoring Chances 74.1 68.5
% of Possessions with UNC VT
2 Point Attempt 48.9% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 28.6%
Player Fouled 21.6% 21.9%
Turnover 11.9% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNC VT
Shot Blocked 4.4% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 31.2% 17.8%