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N Carolina at Syracuse
Sat Feb 29, 2020
4:00pm ET
Syracuse, NY
N Carolina at Syracuse: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Syracuse by 5, Total Points: 147.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UNC | adv | SYR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-16-0 | 13-19-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-10-0 | 8-13-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 8-7-0 | 7-9-0 | |
| Away | 13-9-0 | 6-10-0 |
N Carolina Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Radford | -18.5 | W by 16 | -2.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | Lehigh | -24.0 | W by 22 | -2.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | UC Riverside | -23.5 | W by 25 | +1.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | N Iowa | -11.5 | W by 22 | +10.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Villanova | -2.5 | L by 2 | -4.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Arkansas | -3.5 | W by 15 | +11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Tennessee | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Florida St | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 12/05 | Neutral | Connecticut | +5.5 | L by 11 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Kentucky | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Oklahoma | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Charl South | -30.5 | W by 45 | +14.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Pittsburgh | -4.0 | W by 13 | +9.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Clemson | +3.0 | W by 10 | +13.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | NC State | -3.0 | W by 13 | +10.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Syracuse | -12.0 | W by 36 | +24.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Louisville | -21.0 | W by 16 | -5.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Boston Col | -7.5 | W by 10 | +2.5 |
| 01/22 | Home | Wake Forest | -8.0 | W by 21 | +13.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Florida St | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | GA Tech | -8.5 | L by 1 | -9.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Duke | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Clemson | -6.5 | L by 4 | -10.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Miami | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Syracuse | -8.0 | L by 7 | -15.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | VA Tech | -11.0 | W by 15 | +4.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Virginia | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 02/26 | Home | Miami | -14.0 | W by 4 | -10.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | NC State | -11.0 | W by 9 | -2.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Notre Dame | -16.0 | W by 33 | +17.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Duke | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Florida St | -11.0 | W by 25 | +14.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Pittsburgh | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | NC State | -10.0 | L by 8 | -18.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Wagner | -25.5 | W by 28 | +2.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Michigan St | -4.0 | W by 16 | +12.0 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Alabama | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
Syracuse Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Hampshire | -17.5 | W by 11 | -6.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | Canisius | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Colgate | -7.0 | W by 4 | -3.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Tennessee | +12.5 | L by 17 | -4.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Gonzaga | +12.5 | L by 19 | -6.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Chaminade | -21.5 | W by 49 | +27.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | LSU | -1.5 | W by 23 | +21.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Virginia | +10.5 | L by 22 | -11.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Cornell | -5.0 | W by 11 | +6.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | Georgetown | -1.5 | W by 12 | +10.5 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | Oregon | +4.0 | W by 20 | +24.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Niagara | -17.0 | W by 12 | -5.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Pittsburgh | -1.0 | W by 8 | +7.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Duke | +14.5 | L by 20 | -5.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Boston Col | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | N Carolina | +12.0 | L by 36 | -24.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Pittsburgh | +6.5 | W by 11 | +17.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Miami | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Florida St | -3.5 | L by 16 | -19.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | NC State | +1.0 | W by 12 | +13.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Boston Col | +4.0 | L by 5 | -1.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Wake Forest | +8.5 | L by 29 | -20.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Louisville | -8.5 | W by 2 | -6.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Clemson | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | N Carolina | +8.0 | W by 7 | +15.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | GA Tech | -2.0 | L by 5 | -7.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | NC State | +6.0 | W by 4 | +10.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Notre Dame | -7.0 | W by 3 | -4.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | VA Tech | -1.0 | W by 13 | +12.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Louisville | -5.0 | W by 6 | +1.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Clemson | +10.0 | L by 15 | -5.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | NC State | -1.5 | L by 18 | -19.5 |
| SYR -5.0 | Open | -6.0 | High | -6.0 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | -4.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3235 games where the closing line favored the home team by 4.5 to 6.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Syracuse won the game 2250 times (69.6%).
- The team like North Carolina won the game 985 times (30.4%).
- The team like Syracuse did better against the spread, going 1614-1564-57 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4973 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like North Carolina did better against the spread, going 2455-2418-100 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.5 | -5.0 | -5.0 |
| Open | -4.5 | -6.0 | -6.0 |
| History | |||
| 02/29 04:05 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 02/29 03:59 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 03:21 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 03:14 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 02/29 02:45 PM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 02/29 02:36 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 01:15 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 02/29 12:28 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 11:10 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 11:05 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 09:50 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 01:35 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 02/29 01:34 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/29 01:13 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 10:15 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 02/28 10:15 PM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 02/28 07:44 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
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