NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNC GT
Points 81.8 68.5
Total Points   150.3
Points From 2-Pointers 38.4 33.9
Points From 3-Pointers 26.0 22.7
Points From Free Throws 17.4 11.9
Shooting UNC GT
Field Goals Made 27.9 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 65.1 61.8
Field Goal % 42.9% 39.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 40.2 38.0
2 Point Shooting % 47.8% 44.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 24.9 23.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 31.7%
Free Throws Made 17.4 11.9
Free Throws Attempted 23.0 16.2
Free Throw % 75.4% 73.6%
Ball Control UNC GT
Rebounds 42.8 36.7
Rebounds - Defensive 30.3 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 9.1
Turnovers 6.5 10.1
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.7
Steals 5.8 3.1
Fouls 14.1 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: GA Tech

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNC GT
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 78.5 71.5
% of Possessions with UNC GT
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 28.8%
Player Fouled 21.1% 19.5%
Turnover 8.9% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 4.3% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNC GT
Shot Blocked 6.2% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 31.1% 23.1%