NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MD RUTG
Points 63.4 58.3
Total Points   121.7
Points From 2-Pointers 28.6 31.9
Points From 3-Pointers 18.3 12.7
Points From Free Throws 16.6 13.7
Shooting MD RUTG
Field Goals Made 20.4 20.2
Field Goals Attempted 54.1 57.0
Field Goal % 37.7% 35.4%
2 Pointers Made 14.3 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 32.8 40.6
2 Point Shooting % 43.5% 39.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 4.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.3 16.5
3 Point Shooting % 28.7% 25.7%
Free Throws Made 16.6 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 22.7 20.2
Free Throw % 73.1% 67.7%
Ball Control MD RUTG
Rebounds 40.6 36.0
Rebounds - Defensive 28.9 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 11.1
Turnovers 13.0 11.2
Blocked Shots 5.1 5.6
Steals 6.0 6.3
Fouls 15.3 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Maryland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MD RUTG
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 69.2
% of Possessions with MD RUTG
2 Point Attempt 39.4% 49.3%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 20.0%
Player Fouled 22.6% 22.1%
Turnover 18.8% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MD RUTG
Shot Blocked 10.1% 9.7%
Offensive Rebound 32.1% 27.8%