NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BU BING
Points 68.3 67.1
Total Points   135.4
Points From 2-Pointers 30.9 34.3
Points From 3-Pointers 23.1 18.5
Points From Free Throws 14.3 14.3
Shooting BU BING
Field Goals Made 23.1 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 52.7
Field Goal % 40.5% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 34.3 34.3
2 Point Shooting % 44.9% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 14.3 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 21.6
Free Throw % 72.2% 66.4%
Ball Control BU BING
Rebounds 34.6 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 7.2
Turnovers 8.4 10.7
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.0
Steals 6.2 4.2
Fouls 16.9 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Boston U

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BU BING
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 68.9 65.2
% of Possessions with BU BING
2 Point Attempt 43.8% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 23.7%
Player Fouled 21.6% 24.6%
Turnover 12.2% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken BU BING
Shot Blocked 5.9% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 21.7%