NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WOF MER
Points 72.7 71.1
Total Points   143.7
Points From 2-Pointers 35.4 37.2
Points From 3-Pointers 25.3 21.7
Points From Free Throws 11.9 12.1
Shooting WOF MER
Field Goals Made 26.2 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 59.0
Field Goal % 45.8% 43.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 33.0 39.8
2 Point Shooting % 53.6% 46.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 24.1 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 11.9 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 17.9
Free Throw % 61.9% 67.9%
Ball Control WOF MER
Rebounds 38.2 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 9.4
Turnovers 10.5 8.0
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.0
Steals 3.8 5.8
Fouls 13.3 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Mercer

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WOF MER
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 69.3 69.8
% of Possessions with WOF MER
2 Point Attempt 40.8% 50.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 24.3%
Player Fouled 23.1% 19.4%
Turnover 15.3% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken WOF MER
Shot Blocked 5.1% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 32.0% 25.8%