NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BU GW
Points 67.9 76.4
Total Points   144.2
Points From 2-Pointers 31.3 29.5
Points From 3-Pointers 26.5 30.2
Points From Free Throws 10.1 16.7
Shooting BU GW
Field Goals Made 24.5 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 63.6 54.2
Field Goal % 38.5% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 14.8
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 29.0
2 Point Shooting % 41.3% 50.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 10.1
3 Pointers Attempted 25.6 25.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 40.0%
Free Throws Made 10.1 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 14.0 22.2
Free Throw % 72.2% 75.4%
Ball Control BU GW
Rebounds 36.3 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 30.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 6.3
Turnovers 9.1 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.8
Steals 6.1 5.6
Fouls 15.2 12.0

Playing Style Advantage: Geo Wshgtn

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BU GW
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 71.9 67.0
% of Possessions with BU GW
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 37.0%
3 Point Attempt 31.1% 32.1%
Player Fouled 16.9% 21.5%
Turnover 12.8% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken BU GW
Shot Blocked 7.1% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 19.5%