NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WOF GASO
Points 77.1 76.7
Total Points   153.9
Points From 2-Pointers 34.1 31.2
Points From 3-Pointers 28.6 31.8
Points From Free Throws 14.4 13.8
Shooting WOF GASO
Field Goals Made 26.6 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 59.4
Field Goal % 45.5% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 15.6
2 Pointers Attempted 31.9 31.5
2 Point Shooting % 53.6% 49.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.5 10.6
3 Pointers Attempted 26.7 28.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 14.4 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 23.2 19.3
Free Throw % 61.9% 71.5%
Ball Control WOF GASO
Rebounds 40.1 33.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 8.9
Turnovers 11.2 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.9
Steals 4.1 6.2
Fouls 14.6 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: GA Southern

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WOF GASO
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 73.0 71.1
% of Possessions with WOF GASO
2 Point Attempt 37.2% 38.6%
3 Point Attempt 31.1% 34.3%
Player Fouled 24.2% 20.4%
Turnover 15.6% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken WOF GASO
Shot Blocked 6.6% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 34.3% 24.4%