NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BU SCAR
Points 59.7 75.2
Total Points   134.9
Points From 2-Pointers 31.0 33.2
Points From 3-Pointers 18.0 27.3
Points From Free Throws 10.7 14.8
Shooting BU SCAR
Field Goals Made 21.5 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 54.5
Field Goal % 38.3% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 16.6
2 Pointers Attempted 37.1 30.7
2 Point Shooting % 41.7% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 9.1
3 Pointers Attempted 19.0 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 38.2%
Free Throws Made 10.7 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 14.8 20.9
Free Throw % 72.2% 70.6%
Ball Control BU SCAR
Rebounds 31.8 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 28.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 8.4
Turnovers 9.5 8.0
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.6
Steals 4.8 4.8
Fouls 15.8 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Boston U

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BU SCAR
Total Possessions 66.3
Effective Scoring Chances 64.9 66.7
% of Possessions with BU SCAR
2 Point Attempt 48.9% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.1% 31.2%
Player Fouled 19.6% 23.9%
Turnover 14.4% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken BU SCAR
Shot Blocked 6.8% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 22.2% 26.3%