NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WOF VMI
Points 83.1 66.0
Total Points   149.2
Points From 2-Pointers 41.0 33.6
Points From 3-Pointers 31.0 20.4
Points From Free Throws 11.1 12.1
Shooting WOF VMI
Field Goals Made 30.8 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 63.8 59.6
Field Goal % 48.3% 39.5%
2 Pointers Made 20.5 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 37.6
2 Point Shooting % 57.8% 44.6%
3 Pointers Made 10.3 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 28.3 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 30.8%
Free Throws Made 11.1 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 17.2
Free Throw % 61.9% 70.4%
Ball Control WOF VMI
Rebounds 42.9 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 31.3 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 7.5
Turnovers 10.1 11.4
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.0
Steals 5.5 5.0
Fouls 14.4 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: VMI

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WOF VMI
Total Possessions 73.9
Effective Scoring Chances 75.4 70.0
% of Possessions with WOF VMI
2 Point Attempt 41.1% 45.5%
3 Point Attempt 32.8% 26.7%
Player Fouled 19.4% 19.5%
Turnover 13.6% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken WOF VMI
Shot Blocked 3.3% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 31.3% 19.3%