NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BU LEH
Points 67.1 68.6
Total Points   135.6
Points From 2-Pointers 32.4 31.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 22.1
Points From Free Throws 11.9 15.0
Shooting BU LEH
Field Goals Made 23.8 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 55.5 53.0
Field Goal % 42.9% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 15.7
2 Pointers Attempted 33.7 31.7
2 Point Shooting % 48.2% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.8 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 11.9 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 16.4 20.7
Free Throw % 72.2% 72.8%
Ball Control BU LEH
Rebounds 34.8 32.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 5.5
Turnovers 11.6 10.6
Blocked Shots 3.7 2.0
Steals 6.2 6.9
Fouls 16.5 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Lehigh

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BU LEH
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 65.8 64.9
% of Possessions with BU LEH
2 Point Attempt 43.1% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 27.6%
Player Fouled 20.2% 23.6%
Turnover 16.6% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken BU LEH
Shot Blocked 3.8% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 16.8%