NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WOF FUR
Points 76.4 77.8
Total Points   154.1
Points From 2-Pointers 40.1 29.8
Points From 3-Pointers 26.8 33.2
Points From Free Throws 9.5 14.7
Shooting WOF FUR
Field Goals Made 29.0 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 60.2 60.0
Field Goal % 48.1% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 14.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.7 28.1
2 Point Shooting % 57.7% 53.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 11.1
3 Pointers Attempted 25.5 32.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 9.5 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 15.4 20.3
Free Throw % 61.9% 72.6%
Ball Control WOF FUR
Rebounds 37.3 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 9.3
Turnovers 10.4 8.0
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.3
Steals 3.9 6.1
Fouls 14.5 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Furman

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WOF FUR
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 72.1
% of Possessions with WOF FUR
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 34.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.4% 39.3%
Player Fouled 19.6% 20.5%
Turnover 14.7% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken WOF FUR
Shot Blocked 3.8% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.5% 25.0%