NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BU SH
Points 68.9 69.7
Total Points   138.6
Points From 2-Pointers 28.5 32.0
Points From 3-Pointers 27.0 23.7
Points From Free Throws 13.3 14.1
Shooting BU SH
Field Goals Made 23.3 23.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.2 53.9
Field Goal % 40.7% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 14.2 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 32.0 33.8
2 Point Shooting % 44.5% 47.3%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 25.1 20.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 39.2%
Free Throws Made 13.3 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.5 20.1
Free Throw % 72.2% 70.0%
Ball Control BU SH
Rebounds 38.7 30.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 5.9
Turnovers 12.4 10.1
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.4
Steals 5.9 7.7
Fouls 15.3 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Sacred Hrt

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BU SH
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 68.7 65.6
% of Possessions with BU SH
2 Point Attempt 38.6% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 26.1%
Player Fouled 20.9% 21.9%
Turnover 17.8% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 11.0% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken BU SH
Shot Blocked 8.3% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 31.2% 17.8%