NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BU URI
Points 69.3 72.8
Total Points   142.1
Points From 2-Pointers 32.0 33.5
Points From 3-Pointers 25.4 22.3
Points From Free Throws 11.9 16.9
Shooting BU URI
Field Goals Made 24.5 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 50.9
Field Goal % 41.0% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 31.6
2 Point Shooting % 46.3% 53.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 25.1 19.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 38.4%
Free Throws Made 11.9 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 16.4 25.6
Free Throw % 72.2% 66.1%
Ball Control BU URI
Rebounds 33.5 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 7.4
Turnovers 8.6 10.5
Blocked Shots 4.3 2.6
Steals 6.2 4.5
Fouls 17.9 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Boston U

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BU URI
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.8 65.8
% of Possessions with BU URI
2 Point Attempt 43.6% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 31.6% 24.8%
Player Fouled 20.3% 26.0%
Turnover 12.4% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken BU URI
Shot Blocked 5.2% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 23.6%