NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BU MRST
Points 57.8 63.4
Total Points   121.2
Points From 2-Pointers 24.8 27.1
Points From 3-Pointers 20.2 23.5
Points From Free Throws 12.8 12.8
Shooting BU MRST
Field Goals Made 19.1 21.4
Field Goals Attempted 50.9 50.3
Field Goal % 37.6% 42.5%
2 Pointers Made 12.4 13.6
2 Pointers Attempted 29.5 29.8
2 Point Shooting % 42.0% 45.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 21.4 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.4% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 12.8 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 17.6
Free Throw % 72.2% 72.8%
Ball Control BU MRST
Rebounds 33.9 32.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 5.8
Turnovers 11.8 10.6
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.6
Steals 6.5 6.0
Fouls 15.5 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Marist

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BU MRST
Total Possessions 65.6
Effective Scoring Chances 62.1 60.8
% of Possessions with BU MRST
2 Point Attempt 39.4% 41.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.6% 28.3%
Player Fouled 21.4% 23.6%
Turnover 17.9% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken BU MRST
Shot Blocked 5.2% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 18.5%