NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WOF UNC
Points 64.5 85.4
Total Points   149.9
Points From 2-Pointers 30.3 37.7
Points From 3-Pointers 25.4 27.7
Points From Free Throws 8.7 20.0
Shooting WOF UNC
Field Goals Made 23.6 28.1
Field Goals Attempted 60.6 60.0
Field Goal % 39.0% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 44.7% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 26.6 23.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 39.9%
Free Throws Made 8.7 20.0
Free Throws Attempted 14.1 26.5
Free Throw % 61.9% 75.4%
Ball Control WOF UNC
Rebounds 33.0 42.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 31.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 11.1
Turnovers 10.7 6.5
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.8
Steals 2.8 6.1
Fouls 17.3 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Wofford

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WOF UNC
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 75.9
% of Possessions with WOF UNC
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 44.2%
3 Point Attempt 32.8% 27.8%
Player Fouled 19.2% 24.3%
Turnover 15.1% 9.1%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 3.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken WOF UNC
Shot Blocked 6.4% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.5% 31.2%