NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TST TAM
Points 73.4 83.7
Total Points   157.1
Points From 2-Pointers 38.2 43.1
Points From 3-Pointers 22.6 22.3
Points From Free Throws 12.6 18.3
Shooting TST TAM
Field Goals Made 26.6 29.0
Field Goals Attempted 59.4 65.8
Field Goal % 44.8% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.1 21.5
2 Pointers Attempted 35.8 42.0
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 23.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 31.1%
Free Throws Made 12.6 18.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.7 25.7
Free Throw % 75.8% 71.3%
Ball Control TST TAM
Rebounds 30.0 45.6
Rebounds - Defensive 21.5 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 19.4
Turnovers 9.8 8.0
Blocked Shots 4.0 3.8
Steals 4.6 5.4
Fouls 16.6 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Texas A&M

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TST TAM
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 81.9
% of Possessions with TST TAM
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 26.1%
Player Fouled 20.3% 23.6%
Turnover 13.9% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken TST TAM
Shot Blocked 5.9% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 47.4%