NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TST STAN
Points 73.5 77.8
Total Points   151.2
Points From 2-Pointers 40.3 40.6
Points From 3-Pointers 22.3 24.5
Points From Free Throws 10.9 12.6
Shooting TST STAN
Field Goals Made 27.6 28.5
Field Goals Attempted 63.9 56.6
Field Goal % 43.1% 50.3%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 42.1 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 47.8% 59.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.8 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 10.9 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 14.4 17.1
Free Throw % 75.8% 73.9%
Ball Control TST STAN
Rebounds 31.8 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 22.5 28.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 8.1
Turnovers 9.2 13.2
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.1
Steals 8.1 4.3
Fouls 15.3 12.3

Playing Style Advantage: Stanford

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TST STAN
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 72.6 67.4
% of Possessions with TST STAN
2 Point Attempt 50.8% 42.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 27.2%
Player Fouled 17.0% 21.0%
Turnover 12.6% 18.2%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 11.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken TST STAN
Shot Blocked 5.5% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.3% 26.4%