NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TST UTA
Points 74.0 75.8
Total Points   149.8
Points From 2-Pointers 37.5 34.1
Points From 3-Pointers 19.2 25.3
Points From Free Throws 17.3 16.3
Shooting TST UTA
Field Goals Made 25.2 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 56.2
Field Goal % 43.1% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 39.4 31.9
2 Point Shooting % 47.6% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 19.0 24.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 17.3 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 22.1
Free Throw % 75.8% 73.6%
Ball Control TST UTA
Rebounds 31.6 38.4
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 12.2
Turnovers 10.8 14.6
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.5
Steals 7.9 5.4
Fouls 17.2 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Tarleton St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TST UTA
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 72.2 70.6
% of Possessions with TST UTA
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 36.8%
3 Point Attempt 22.5% 28.1%
Player Fouled 24.3% 23.5%
Turnover 14.7% 20.0%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 10.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken TST UTA
Shot Blocked 6.4% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 27.5% 36.0%