NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SUU UNCO
Points 77.0 82.3
Total Points   159.4
Points From 2-Pointers 41.8 52.4
Points From 3-Pointers 20.8 19.1
Points From Free Throws 14.4 10.8
Shooting SUU UNCO
Field Goals Made 27.8 32.6
Field Goals Attempted 61.3 62.8
Field Goal % 45.4% 51.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.9 26.2
2 Pointers Attempted 39.0 45.0
2 Point Shooting % 53.5% 58.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 22.3 17.9
3 Point Shooting % 31.1% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 14.4 10.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 14.5
Free Throw % 71.3% 74.6%
Ball Control SUU UNCO
Rebounds 33.4 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 7.5
Turnovers 9.3 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.4
Steals 5.9 5.5
Fouls 13.4 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: N Colorado

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SUU UNCO
Total Possessions 74.2
Effective Scoring Chances 73.6 71.5
% of Possessions with SUU UNCO
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 54.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 21.6%
Player Fouled 22.0% 18.0%
Turnover 12.5% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SUU UNCO
Shot Blocked 3.9% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 23.3%