NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SUU BYU
Points 67.5 91.5
Total Points   159.0
Points From 2-Pointers 36.3 51.8
Points From 3-Pointers 16.8 27.2
Points From Free Throws 14.5 12.4
Shooting SUU BYU
Field Goals Made 23.7 35.0
Field Goals Attempted 58.6 65.9
Field Goal % 40.5% 53.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 25.9
2 Pointers Attempted 38.7 41.0
2 Point Shooting % 46.9% 63.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 9.1
3 Pointers Attempted 19.9 24.8
3 Point Shooting % 28.1% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 14.5 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 17.2
Free Throw % 71.3% 72.5%
Ball Control SUU BYU
Rebounds 28.7 42.9
Rebounds - Defensive 21.5 30.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 12.1
Turnovers 10.0 8.6
Blocked Shots 1.9 3.4
Steals 4.6 5.5
Fouls 14.1 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: BYU

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SUU BYU
Total Possessions 73.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 76.8
% of Possessions with SUU BYU
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 28.8%
Player Fouled 23.5% 19.2%
Turnover 13.7% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken SUU BYU
Shot Blocked 5.1% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 18.9% 36.1%