NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SUU CALBA
Points 71.3 72.1
Total Points   143.4
Points From 2-Pointers 43.9 41.4
Points From 3-Pointers 14.4 16.9
Points From Free Throws 12.9 13.8
Shooting SUU CALBA
Field Goals Made 26.7 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 61.0
Field Goal % 46.4% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 21.9 20.7
2 Pointers Attempted 42.1 43.9
2 Point Shooting % 52.1% 47.1%
3 Pointers Made 4.8 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 15.6 17.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 12.9 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 19.8
Free Throw % 71.3% 69.6%
Ball Control SUU CALBA
Rebounds 32.0 39.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 13.1
Turnovers 8.7 9.6
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.4
Steals 4.6 3.7
Fouls 15.2 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: S Utah

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SUU CALBA
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.5 73.5
% of Possessions with SUU CALBA
2 Point Attempt 53.9% 52.0%
3 Point Attempt 19.9% 20.2%
Player Fouled 22.8% 21.7%
Turnover 12.4% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken SUU CALBA
Shot Blocked 4.1% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 21.1% 34.5%