NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SUU RICE
Points 74.5 77.5
Total Points   152.0
Points From 2-Pointers 38.0 46.2
Points From 3-Pointers 23.9 19.1
Points From Free Throws 12.6 12.1
Shooting SUU RICE
Field Goals Made 27.0 29.5
Field Goals Attempted 61.9 61.1
Field Goal % 43.6% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 23.1
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 42.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.0% 53.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 23.9 18.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 12.6 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 17.5
Free Throw % 71.3% 69.2%
Ball Control SUU RICE
Rebounds 34.0 38.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 10.4
Turnovers 9.2 10.2
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.6
Steals 6.0 5.2
Fouls 14.3 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Rice

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SUU RICE
Total Possessions 71.7
Effective Scoring Chances 72.4 71.9
% of Possessions with SUU RICE
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 51.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 21.7%
Player Fouled 20.0% 19.9%
Turnover 12.8% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SUU RICE
Shot Blocked 6.0% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.4% 30.0%