NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SUU UTECH
Points 76.2 76.1
Total Points   152.4
Points From 2-Pointers 37.3 45.6
Points From 3-Pointers 19.4 16.5
Points From Free Throws 19.5 14.0
Shooting SUU UTECH
Field Goals Made 25.1 28.3
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 58.5
Field Goal % 43.5% 48.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 22.8
2 Pointers Attempted 36.4 42.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.3% 54.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 21.4 16.3
3 Point Shooting % 30.3% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 19.5 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 27.4 22.1
Free Throw % 71.3% 63.3%
Ball Control SUU UTECH
Rebounds 34.4 37.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 10.5
Turnovers 11.3 13.4
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.9
Steals 7.2 6.0
Fouls 17.2 19.9

Playing Style Advantage: Utah Tech

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SUU UTECH
Total Possessions 75.4
Effective Scoring Chances 74.2 72.5
% of Possessions with SUU UTECH
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 48.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.5% 18.7%
Player Fouled 26.4% 22.9%
Turnover 14.9% 17.8%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 9.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken SUU UTECH
Shot Blocked 6.7% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 30.2%