NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SUU IDHO
Points 73.6 69.6
Total Points   143.1
Points From 2-Pointers 38.9 40.5
Points From 3-Pointers 17.7 19.2
Points From Free Throws 17.0 9.9
Shooting SUU IDHO
Field Goals Made 25.3 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 54.9 58.2
Field Goal % 46.2% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.7 39.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.5% 51.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 18.9
3 Point Shooting % 30.7% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 17.0 9.9
Free Throws Attempted 23.8 13.3
Free Throw % 71.3% 74.3%
Ball Control SUU IDHO
Rebounds 34.3 32.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 7.5
Turnovers 9.3 11.1
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.0
Steals 6.1 4.7
Fouls 13.3 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: S Utah

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SUU IDHO
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 69.1 66.2
% of Possessions with SUU IDHO
2 Point Attempt 44.8% 50.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.1% 24.0%
Player Fouled 25.6% 19.0%
Turnover 13.3% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SUU IDHO
Shot Blocked 5.3% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 22.5%