NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MRSH MORE
Points 65.7 74.5
Total Points   140.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.0 33.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.1 29.5
Points From Free Throws 11.6 12.1
Shooting MRSH MORE
Field Goals Made 23.7 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 61.4 58.6
Field Goal % 38.6% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 39.2 33.0
2 Point Shooting % 43.3% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 9.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 25.6
3 Point Shooting % 30.2% 38.4%
Free Throws Made 11.6 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 16.5
Free Throw % 71.7% 73.2%
Ball Control MRSH MORE
Rebounds 34.2 40.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 30.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 10.2
Turnovers 8.8 11.5
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.8
Steals 6.5 5.5
Fouls 13.1 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Morehead St

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MRSH MORE
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 71.3 69.0
% of Possessions with MRSH MORE
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 40.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 31.3%
Player Fouled 19.0% 18.7%
Turnover 12.5% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MRSH MORE
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 29.4%