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Marshall at W Kentucky
Fri Jan 15, 2021
5:00pm ET
Bowling Green, KY
Marshall at W Kentucky: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Western Kentucky by 4, Total Points: 153
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MRSH | adv | WKU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 12-20-0 | 19-12-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-13-0 | 13-6-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 6-8-0 | 7-4-0 | |
| Away | 6-12-0 | 12-8-0 |
Marshall Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Queens | -5.5 | W by 16 | +10.5 |
| 11/10 | Neutral | Radford | -3.5 | L by 4 | -7.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Utah St | +5.0 | L by 23 | -18.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Florida Intl | +1.0 | W by 11 | +12.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Oakland | -3.0 | L by 7 | -10.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Kentucky | +18.5 | L by 36 | -17.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Miami (OH) | -11.0 | L by 5 | -16.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Duquesne | +5.0 | L by 13 | -8.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | Ohio | +8.0 | W by 5 | +13.0 |
| 12/13 | Away | Toledo | +8.0 | L by 1 | +7.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | +1.0 | W by 7 | +8.0 |
| 12/18 | Home | Bluefield College | -- | W by 33 | -- |
| 12/21 | Home | NC-Wilmgton | -1.5 | L by 9 | -10.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Louisiana | -2.5 | W by 14 | +11.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | UL Monroe | -6.0 | W by 11 | +5.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Texas St | -2.0 | W by 4 | +2.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | GA Southern | -11.5 | W by 5 | -6.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | S Alabama | -5.0 | L by 6 | -11.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Old Dominion | +1.5 | L by 25 | -23.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | James Mad | +11.5 | L by 15 | -3.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Georgia St | -4.0 | W by 9 | +5.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | S Mississippi | -4.0 | W by 16 | +12.0 |
| 02/01 | Home | Old Dominion | -9.5 | L by 7 | -16.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Coastal Car | -10.5 | W by 17 | +6.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Troy | +7.5 | L by 16 | -8.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | App State | +10.5 | L by 15 | -4.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Coastal Car | -4.5 | L by 7 | -11.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | James Mad | +7.0 | L by 26 | -19.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | App State | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | GA Southern | +1.5 | L by 14 | -12.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Georgia St | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Georgia St | -1.0 | W by 12 | +11.0 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | James Mad | +12.0 | L by 17 | -5.0 |
W Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Kentucky Wesleyan | -- | W by 26 | -- |
| 11/09 | Away | Wichita St | +7.5 | L by 10 | -2.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Murray St | +1.0 | W by 5 | +6.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Kentucky State | -- | W by 20 | -- |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Bowling Grn | -4.5 | W by 7 | +2.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Canisius | -6.5 | L by 8 | -14.5 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | NC-Asheville | -6.0 | L by 10 | -16.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Campbellsville | -- | W by 24 | -- |
| 12/03 | Home | E Kentucky | -4.5 | W by 10 | +5.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Buffalo | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 12/12 | Away | Wright St | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Austin Peay | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Cal Baptist | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Abl Christian | -5.0 | W by 2 | -3.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Liberty | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Sam Hous St | +2.5 | L by 4 | -1.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Jksnville St | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | N Mex State | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | TX El Paso | +1.5 | L by 6 | -4.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Florida Intl | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | Sam Hous St | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Middle Tenn | -6.5 | W by 23 | +16.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | LA Tech | +10.0 | W by 5 | +15.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Jksnville St | +2.0 | W by 11 | +13.0 |
| 02/15 | Home | TX El Paso | -7.0 | W by 10 | +3.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | N Mex State | -9.5 | W by 14 | +4.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Middle Tenn | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | LA Tech | -2.0 | L by 6 | -8.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Florida Intl | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Liberty | +6.5 | L by 3 | +3.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | N Mex State | -6.5 | W by 20 | +13.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Middle Tenn | -6.0 | W by 31 | +25.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | TX El Paso | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Marquette | +14.5 | L by 18 | -3.5 |
| WKU -4.0 | Open | -3.0 | High | -4.0 |
| Last | -3.5 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3020 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Western Kentucky won the game 1870 times (61.9%).
- The team like Marshall won the game 1150 times (38.1%).
- The team like Western Kentucky did better against the spread, going 1514-1459-47 (50.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 44 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Western Kentucky did better against the spread, going 28-16 (63.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 3.5 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.5 | -4.0 | -4.0 |
| Open | -2.5 | -2.5 | -3.0 |
| History | |||
| 01/15 05:03 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 04:24 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 01/15 04:14 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 01/15 04:11 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 03:35 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 01/15 03:08 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 02:14 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 01/15 02:02 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 01:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 01/15 11:56 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 11:14 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 01/15 11:05 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 01/15 11:02 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 10:34 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 01/15 09:55 AM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 01/15 09:44 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 01/15 08:32 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 08:24 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 01/15 08:05 AM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 01/15 06:35 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 01/15 06:32 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 03:04 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 03:04 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 01/15 02:47 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 12:55 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 01/15 12:44 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 01/14 09:44 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 01/14 08:44 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 01/14 08:24 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 01/14 07:24 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 01/14 07:23 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
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