NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MRSH IND
Points 66.3 76.8
Total Points   143.1
Points From 2-Pointers 28.5 44.8
Points From 3-Pointers 26.8 17.2
Points From Free Throws 11.0 14.8
Shooting MRSH IND
Field Goals Made 23.2 28.1
Field Goals Attempted 65.1 57.9
Field Goal % 35.6% 48.6%
2 Pointers Made 14.2 22.4
2 Pointers Attempted 36.0 41.9
2 Point Shooting % 39.5% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 29.1 16.0
3 Point Shooting % 30.8% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 11.0 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 15.3 22.5
Free Throw % 71.7% 65.9%
Ball Control MRSH IND
Rebounds 35.7 42.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 33.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 9.3
Turnovers 9.3 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.8
Steals 7.4 5.0
Fouls 16.6 12.4

Playing Style Advantage: Marshall

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MRSH IND
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 74.6 71.5
% of Possessions with MRSH IND
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 50.0%
3 Point Attempt 34.2% 19.2%
Player Fouled 17.0% 22.8%
Turnover 12.7% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 10.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MRSH IND
Shot Blocked 4.9% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 27.4%