NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MRSH FAU
Points 69.9 82.3
Total Points   152.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.8 41.1
Points From 3-Pointers 25.1 24.1
Points From Free Throws 10.1 17.1
Shooting MRSH FAU
Field Goals Made 25.7 28.6
Field Goals Attempted 66.2 60.7
Field Goal % 38.9% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 40.3 38.4
2 Point Shooting % 43.2% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 26.0 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 10.1 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 14.1 23.6
Free Throw % 71.7% 72.6%
Ball Control MRSH FAU
Rebounds 36.1 42.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 31.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 11.0
Turnovers 10.2 10.1
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.1
Steals 5.6 6.8
Fouls 16.2 12.3

Playing Style Advantage: Fla Atlantic

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MRSH FAU
Total Possessions 74.3
Effective Scoring Chances 75.5 75.2
% of Possessions with MRSH FAU
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 25.7%
Player Fouled 16.6% 21.9%
Turnover 13.8% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken MRSH FAU
Shot Blocked 3.5% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.7% 30.9%