NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LSU USU
Points 73.8 77.9
Total Points   151.7
Points From 2-Pointers 37.6 41.2
Points From 3-Pointers 21.0 19.7
Points From Free Throws 15.2 17.0
Shooting LSU USU
Field Goals Made 25.8 27.2
Field Goals Attempted 58.9 56.7
Field Goal % 43.8% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 37.8 36.1
2 Point Shooting % 49.7% 57.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 21.1 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 31.8%
Free Throws Made 15.2 17.0
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 23.5
Free Throw % 73.3% 72.5%
Ball Control LSU USU
Rebounds 34.1 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 8.4
Turnovers 11.1 10.5
Blocked Shots 2.4 4.1
Steals 6.7 7.2
Fouls 16.3 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Utah St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LSU USU
Total Possessions 73.2
Effective Scoring Chances 71.3 71.1
% of Possessions with LSU USU
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.1% 25.0%
Player Fouled 20.0% 22.3%
Turnover 15.2% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LSU USU
Shot Blocked 7.2% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 25.2%