NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRIN DART
Points 76.4 60.5
Total Points   136.9
Points From 2-Pointers 29.9 31.4
Points From 3-Pointers 35.7 20.9
Points From Free Throws 10.9 8.1
Shooting PRIN DART
Field Goals Made 26.8 22.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.5 51.3
Field Goal % 46.7% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 15.7
2 Pointers Attempted 26.3 29.6
2 Point Shooting % 56.9% 53.1%
3 Pointers Made 11.9 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 31.2 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 32.2%
Free Throws Made 10.9 8.1
Free Throws Attempted 13.9 12.3
Free Throw % 78.3% 66.3%
Ball Control PRIN DART
Rebounds 31.3 31.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 5.5 5.2
Turnovers 5.7 11.6
Blocked Shots 1.2 2.4
Steals 6.5 2.8
Fouls 12.5 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Dartmouth

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRIN DART
Total Possessions 65.5
Effective Scoring Chances 65.3 59.1
% of Possessions with PRIN DART
2 Point Attempt 36.5% 41.5%
3 Point Attempt 43.4% 30.5%
Player Fouled 20.5% 19.0%
Turnover 8.7% 17.7%
Opponent Steal 4.3% 10.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRIN DART
Shot Blocked 4.7% 2.2%
Offensive Rebound 17.2% 16.7%