NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM UAB
Points 80.4 80.0
Total Points   160.4
Points From 2-Pointers 40.3 39.9
Points From 3-Pointers 24.3 22.8
Points From Free Throws 15.8 17.3
Shooting MEM UAB
Field Goals Made 28.2 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 62.0 61.9
Field Goal % 45.5% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 38.8 39.8
2 Point Shooting % 51.9% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 15.8 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 23.2
Free Throw % 72.7% 74.3%
Ball Control MEM UAB
Rebounds 35.6 38.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.5 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 13.8
Turnovers 11.3 11.9
Blocked Shots 5.1 5.2
Steals 7.8 6.1
Fouls 16.3 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: UAB

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM UAB
Total Possessions 74.3
Effective Scoring Chances 75.1 76.2
% of Possessions with MEM UAB
2 Point Attempt 43.8% 44.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 24.5%
Player Fouled 20.5% 22.0%
Turnover 15.2% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 10.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM UAB
Shot Blocked 8.6% 8.4%
Offensive Rebound 33.0% 37.0%