NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLEM LOU
Points 83.1 65.5
Total Points   148.6
Points From 2-Pointers 39.8 32.5
Points From 3-Pointers 26.4 16.4
Points From Free Throws 16.9 16.7
Shooting CLEM LOU
Field Goals Made 28.7 21.7
Field Goals Attempted 55.8 55.8
Field Goal % 51.5% 38.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 32.7 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 60.9% 44.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 23.1 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 28.4%
Free Throws Made 16.9 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 22.5
Free Throw % 77.8% 74.2%
Ball Control CLEM LOU
Rebounds 36.3 30.7
Rebounds - Defensive 29.0 22.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 8.1
Turnovers 9.2 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.7 1.7
Steals 5.3 4.7
Fouls 16.4 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Louisville

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLEM LOU
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 69.1
% of Possessions with CLEM LOU
2 Point Attempt 41.4% 45.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 23.8%
Player Fouled 21.9% 23.1%
Turnover 13.0% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLEM LOU
Shot Blocked 3.1% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 21.9%