NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TNST SIUE
Points 71.2 69.8
Total Points   141.0
Points From 2-Pointers 32.8 32.8
Points From 3-Pointers 19.6 19.1
Points From Free Throws 18.8 17.9
Shooting TNST SIUE
Field Goals Made 22.9 22.8
Field Goals Attempted 51.1 57.1
Field Goal % 44.8% 39.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 32.6 36.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.2% 45.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 18.5 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 30.6%
Free Throws Made 18.8 17.9
Free Throws Attempted 24.8 24.5
Free Throw % 76.1% 73.2%
Ball Control TNST SIUE
Rebounds 34.0 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 23.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 11.6
Turnovers 12.8 10.3
Blocked Shots 3.5 4.7
Steals 5.3 6.8
Fouls 17.0 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: SIU Edward

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TNST SIUE
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 65.7 72.1
% of Possessions with TNST SIUE
2 Point Attempt 40.6% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 24.7%
Player Fouled 23.9% 24.1%
Turnover 18.1% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken TNST SIUE
Shot Blocked 8.4% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 30.6%