NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PAC BYU
Points 60.7 93.6
Total Points   154.4
Points From 2-Pointers 31.3 40.8
Points From 3-Pointers 16.2 37.3
Points From Free Throws 13.3 15.5
Shooting PAC BYU
Field Goals Made 21.0 32.8
Field Goals Attempted 53.9 62.7
Field Goal % 39.0% 52.3%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 36.1 29.3
2 Point Shooting % 43.4% 69.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 12.4
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 33.4
3 Point Shooting % 30.2% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 13.3 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 21.4
Free Throw % 65.1% 72.5%
Ball Control PAC BYU
Rebounds 25.3 44.8
Rebounds - Defensive 20.6 32.0
Rebounds - Offensive 4.7 12.8
Turnovers 10.7 7.9
Blocked Shots 1.4 3.7
Steals 4.2 5.4
Fouls 14.6 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Pacific

Expected Effect: +0.9 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PAC BYU
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 65.5 76.4
% of Possessions with PAC BYU
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 34.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 39.4%
Player Fouled 24.9% 20.5%
Turnover 14.9% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken PAC BYU
Shot Blocked 5.9% 2.6%
Offensive Rebound 12.9% 38.4%