NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TXSO OKST
Points 65.0 74.4
Total Points   139.4
Points From 2-Pointers 36.6 32.6
Points From 3-Pointers 18.0 24.1
Points From Free Throws 10.4 17.7
Shooting TXSO OKST
Field Goals Made 24.3 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 60.6 54.1
Field Goal % 40.1% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 40.6 28.6
2 Point Shooting % 45.1% 57.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 25.5
3 Point Shooting % 30.0% 31.4%
Free Throws Made 10.4 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 14.1 24.9
Free Throw % 73.6% 71.2%
Ball Control TXSO OKST
Rebounds 33.2 38.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 28.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 10.0
Turnovers 10.7 11.4
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.9
Steals 7.3 5.5
Fouls 17.0 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: TX Southern

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TXSO OKST
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 69.4 69.5
% of Possessions with TXSO OKST
2 Point Attempt 49.9% 34.8%
3 Point Attempt 24.6% 31.1%
Player Fouled 18.4% 24.0%
Turnover 15.2% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken TXSO OKST
Shot Blocked 5.4% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 29.6%