NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRIN HARV
Points 74.9 67.0
Total Points   142.0
Points From 2-Pointers 30.7 35.5
Points From 3-Pointers 31.8 20.1
Points From Free Throws 12.4 11.5
Shooting PRIN HARV
Field Goals Made 26.0 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 59.4 53.3
Field Goal % 43.7% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.3 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 29.2 32.3
2 Point Shooting % 52.6% 54.9%
3 Pointers Made 10.6 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 30.2 21.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 31.9%
Free Throws Made 12.4 11.5
Free Throws Attempted 15.8 16.5
Free Throw % 78.3% 69.8%
Ball Control PRIN HARV
Rebounds 32.6 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 7.1
Turnovers 6.9 10.9
Blocked Shots 1.6 2.9
Steals 5.8 4.2
Fouls 13.2 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Harvard

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRIN HARV
Total Possessions 67.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.6 63.7
% of Possessions with PRIN HARV
2 Point Attempt 38.1% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 39.5% 27.9%
Player Fouled 20.5% 19.5%
Turnover 10.2% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRIN HARV
Shot Blocked 5.5% 2.8%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 22.2%