NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LSU ALA
Points 79.8 90.7
Total Points   170.5
Points From 2-Pointers 38.4 37.1
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 35.7
Points From Free Throws 19.4 17.9
Shooting LSU ALA
Field Goals Made 26.5 30.5
Field Goals Attempted 60.3 63.8
Field Goal % 44.0% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 38.5 31.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.9% 59.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 11.9
3 Pointers Attempted 21.8 32.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 19.4 17.9
Free Throws Attempted 26.5 23.4
Free Throw % 73.3% 76.4%
Ball Control LSU ALA
Rebounds 34.3 39.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 12.4
Turnovers 11.5 11.1
Blocked Shots 3.8 5.1
Steals 7.6 7.5
Fouls 16.9 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: LSU

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LSU ALA
Total Possessions 76.9
Effective Scoring Chances 76.0 78.2
% of Possessions with LSU ALA
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 34.5%
3 Point Attempt 24.4% 35.8%
Player Fouled 21.8% 22.0%
Turnover 14.9% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken LSU ALA
Shot Blocked 8.1% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 34.2%