NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLEM ALA
Points 81.6 83.0
Total Points   164.6
Points From 2-Pointers 40.5 30.9
Points From 3-Pointers 22.4 35.1
Points From Free Throws 18.7 17.0
Shooting CLEM ALA
Field Goals Made 27.7 27.2
Field Goals Attempted 60.5 63.5
Field Goal % 45.8% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 15.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 29.8
2 Point Shooting % 54.1% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 11.7
3 Pointers Attempted 23.0 33.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 18.7 17.0
Free Throws Attempted 24.0 22.2
Free Throw % 77.8% 76.4%
Ball Control CLEM ALA
Rebounds 36.6 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 11.3
Turnovers 8.7 9.0
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.1
Steals 4.8 5.4
Fouls 16.4 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Clemson

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLEM ALA
Total Possessions 74.5
Effective Scoring Chances 74.7 76.8
% of Possessions with CLEM ALA
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 34.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 38.7%
Player Fouled 22.5% 22.1%
Turnover 11.7% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLEM ALA
Shot Blocked 5.0% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 29.0%